Well, I do it the same way I've been doing it. I've made no change in that, to be clear. And this is going to get a little wonky. What I want to do is to collect data that will reveal to me what the future electorate is going to look like. I call it polling forward. I call people who are weighting their data looking at past elections polling backward.
And there are biases with internal polling. I'm more likely to answer a poll by (A) whom I'm more likely to vote for than by (B) where I may be concerned that they're trying to collect my data for nefarious uses.
If you believe polls are worthless, then don't look at them. However, a lot of the enthusiasm and donations for a political candidate are driven by polling.
Yes.
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/opinion/columnists/f...
One can debate how the change in political polling has been done over the past decades. Reverse polling (weighting) vs forward polling (weighting).
https://www.pewresearch.org/methods/2026/09/16/weighting-pol...
https://goodauthority.org/news/pollsters-are-weighting-surve...
Seltzer used (and consistently used) forward polling. https://www.npr.org/2024/11/03/nx-s1-5177322/high-profile-io...
And there are biases with internal polling. I'm more likely to answer a poll by (A) whom I'm more likely to vote for than by (B) where I may be concerned that they're trying to collect my data for nefarious uses.If you believe polls are worthless, then don't look at them. However, a lot of the enthusiasm and donations for a political candidate are driven by polling.